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The Fed and the markets
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THE FED AND THE MARKETS
1. The Fed and the markets
2. A strong economy
3. The Fed at work
4. Market reaction to the Fed
Credit markets
Lender of last resort
Bond markets
Stock markets
5. The Fed's goal
 
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Bond markets

The bond market is visibly affected by changes in short-term interest rates.

If the Fed initiates a rate increase, short-term interest rates climb. If it initiates a rate drop, short-term rates drop. And all things being equal, longer-term rates eventually follow that lead.

That's because changing short-term interest rates affect investors' attitudes about long-term bonds. When short-term rates are low, investors' demand for long-term bonds increases, which increases their price. That means lower yields for investors. But it gives would-be borrowers the incentive to issue new bonds.

When short-term rates are high, investors' demand for long-term bonds drops, and their price falls. That raises the yield on long-term bonds. But it also makes borrowers reluctant to issue new bonds.

Since changing interest rates affect the value of existing bonds, they also affect the health of financial institutions and individual investors with bonds in their portfolios. Briefly, when rates go up, existing bonds are worth less. And when rates go down, existing bonds are worth more.

That’s true because bonds paying less than the current interest rate are worth less than their face value, and bonds paying more than the current rate are worth more than their face value.

 
 
Professor Samuel L. Hayes,
Harvard Business School Anthony Santomero,
Federal Reserve
Bank of Philadelphia


         
   
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