Most of what's considered stock analysis is known
as fundamental analysis: the study of the company itself. But
if you've determined that a company is financially sound and shows
signs of the growth you're looking for, your next question is
whether the stock is worth its market price.
Technical
analysts try to answer that question.
Technical analysis is based on data that track
trading and price movements for a stock. Analysts can use this
data to see how certain events have affected the demand —
and therefore the price and
trading volume
— for a stock in the past, which may
give them some insight into how the stock may behave in the future.
The price is right
Technical analysts review a stock's average
rate of growth and look for aberrations, such as jumps or dips
in the stock price or trading volume, to see how the market has
reacted to past events. Based on previous prices, they make judgments
about whether a stock's price is on its way up or down.
Aside from revealing historical patterns, technical
data can also provide early evidence of current developments.
For example, if today's technical data show a leap in a stock's
trading volume because a big institutional investor is selling
off that stock, it may be a sign that other big investors are
about to follow suit.
Sam Stovall,
Chief Investment Strategist at Standard & Poor’s
Technical analysis
alone rarely gives you enough information to determine
how a stock's price will move. Most analysts use technical
analysis in tandem with fundamental analysis. So price
charts often raise questions — for example,
what might have happened
the year the price jumped or fell — and fundamental
analysis fills in the details.