Page 8 of 21 Stocks: Industries & sectors When you invest in stocks, or stock mutual funds, you want to consider spreading your portfolio across a variety of industries or areas of the economy. Diversifying across different industries can help protect your portfolio from downturns in stock prices in a specific industry or sector of the economy that is not in step with the overall direction of the market. For example, your stock portfolio could lose value if it is heavily weighted in telecommunications stocks, and the prices of those stocks drop dramatically even though the overall market is rising. Because it's impossible to predict the economic, political, or market factors that may effect the fortunes of any one industry or sector of the economy over the short term, it's important to make sure that your portfolio is never narrowly concentrated. Different types of stocks tend to perform well in different market conditions. Cyclical stocks, for instance, are those that have a tendency to rise in value in a strong economy and fall during an economic downturn. These include airlines, automobile, and travel and leisure stocks. In contrast, stocks in industries that provide necessities — sometimes called countercyclicals — such as food, gas, and electricity tend to remain more stable in value regardless of market conditions. Page 9 of 21 Market capitalization When building a portfolio of stocks, or stock mutual funds, it's important to take into account how the market capitalization, or market cap, of the stock you're considering fits into your overall strategy. Market cap — or market value as it's sometimes called — is one way of measuring the size of a company and anticipating its investment potential. Market cap is calculated by multiplying a company's current stock price by the number of its existing shares. For example, a stock with a current market value of $30 a share and a hundred million shares of existing stock would have a market cap of $3 billion. One size doesn't fit all Stocks are usually categorized as large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap. Some experts also use a special category for very small cap stocks, called micro-cap. You'll want to consider diversifying your portfolio among stocks with different market caps, since stocks of different sizes tend to perform differently in the market. For instance, smaller cap stocks may go up in value at the same time the values of large-cap stocks remain flat or go down, or vice versa. And following a period in which one category outperforms the other, the situation typically reverses. In general, large-cap stocks tend to be less volatile than small-cap stocks. This is because small-cap stocks generally represent younger, less established companies that do not have the financial resources of larger companies and are thus more vulnerable to failure. As you might expect, mid-cap stocks can offer a middle ground between the growth potential of small-caps and reduced volatility of large-caps. Mid-caps also typically cost less than large-cap stocks, but are less vulnerable in economic downturns than small-caps. Page 10 of 21 Growth & value You'll also want to try to strike the right balance between stocks that produce growth and stocks and other investments that provide value. From an investing perspective, growth is the increasing value of an investment over time. Stocks of companies that reinvest their profits rather than paying them out as dividends are considered growth investments. So are stocks of young, fast growing companies. A popular indicator of a stock's growth potential is its price-to-earnings ratio, or P/E. Calculated by dividing a stock's current share price by its earnings per share, the P/E — or multiple — can help you gauge the price of a stock in relation to its earnings. For instance, a stock with a P/E of 15 is trading at a price 15 times higher than its earnings. While a low P/E may be a sign that a company's earnings are down and it is a poor investment risk, it may also indicate that a company is undervalued by the market because its stock price doesn't reflect its earnings potential. These are called value stocks, since their relatively low prices can make them a good value for investors — provided a company can turn itself around or is poised to expand. You'll also want to look at the price and earnings of a stock in relation to its net asset value, or book value — a company's net assets divided by its number of outstanding shares and bonds. This information, which you can find in the reports of research companies that analyze stock investments or in the company's annual report, can help you gauge how much debt a company is carrying. Too much debt can limit growth potential. It can be smart to have both value and growth stocks in your portfolio, since they can both produce strong results — or falter — but rarely at the same time. From the expert Don Kittell explains how many stocks you'll need to be diversified. Studies have shown that a well-diversified stock portfolio should contain roughly thirty stocks: In an all-equity portfolio, the maximum benefits of diversification are reached when the portfolio contains thirty different companies' stocks. Do you have to own that many? Apparently not. Other studies indicate that most of the benefits of diversification can be achieved from portfolios containing twelve to eighteen stocks. I would certainly feel secure with eighteen, but others may want a broader spread. Page 11 of 21 Types of bonds When you invest in bonds you can choose among four major subclasses: corporate bonds, U.S. Treasury bonds, agency bonds, and municipal bonds. All these bonds promise to repay your principal with interest, which is why bonds are often described as fixed-income investments. But buying bonds from different categories of issuer lets you balance the potential inflation and investment risks that each type poses with the advantages it can bring to your portfolio. For example, corporate bonds tend to pay higher rates of interest, providing a higher yield, than most of the bonds issued by governments and agencies, so they provide more income. But some corporate bonds may put your principal at risk. And the interest that corporate bonds pay is always taxable at your regular income tax rate. In contrast, you never owe federal income tax on municipal bond interest, and you don't owe state or local tax either if you live in the state or city that issued the bond. But most municipal bonds pay interest at a lower rate than corporate bonds with similar levels of risk. If you're looking for the highest level of security, you might decide to add U.S. Treasury bills, notes, or bonds to your portfolio. While government bonds typically pay less interest than corporate or agency bonds, you can be sure you'll always receive your interest payments and get your principal back on schedule. And as a middle ground between Treasurys and corporate bonds, you might add agency bonds to your portfolio. Agency bonds are sold by various government-sponsored agencies, pay slightly higher interest than Treasurys but enjoy almost the same level of security. Agency bond interest is taxable. And sometimes rather than receiving your principal back in a lump sum, a portion of your principal is returned with each payment. That amount is not taxable. Page 12 of 21 Bond terms When you're building a portfolio of bonds and bond mutual funds, you'll want to consider buying bonds with different terms. The term is the length of time between when a bond is issued and its maturity date, the date the par value of the bond is scheduled to be repaid. The good news is that bonds are available in a variety of terms, from short-term U.S. Treasury bills, which currently come in 4-, 13-, and 26-week terms, to long-term bonds with maturity dates as long as 30 or 40 years. There is also a wide variety of intermediate-term corporate, government, and agency notes to choose from, which usually mature in two to ten years. In general, the longer the term the higher the rate of interest the bond pays to offset the risk you're taking in tying up your money. One advantage of owning bonds with different terms is that you can use the principal that's repaid at maturity to take advantage of new investment opportunities as they arise. You can also choose maturity dates to coincide with a time you Know you'll need cash for a planned expense, such as a tuition payment or the down payment on a home. If you stagger the maturity dates on bonds of the same term, an approach known as laddering, you can avoid having to reinvest all of your money at a single rate. Page 13 of 21 Bond ratings Independent agencies, such as Standard & Poor's and Moody's Investors Service, rate the likelihood that corporate or municipal bond issuers will meet a bond's interest payments and repay your principal at maturity. They base their decisions on the issuer's past track record, its revenues or profits, the state of the economy, the industry and sector, and a host of other factors. U.S. Treasurys are not rated — they're considered absolutely safe, since they're backed by the full faith and credit of the federal government. The various ratings systems have slight differences, but generally include 10 categories, ranging from a high of AAA (or Aaa) to a low of D. The lower the rating, the higher the interest rate the issuer usually pays on the bond in order to attract investors, but the greater the risk of default. The top three or four ratings are considered investment grade, and pose virtually no risk of default. You'll need to be willing to take on a lot of risk if you plan to invest in very low-rated bonds. Otherwise known as junk bonds or high-yielding bonds, these are highly speculative investments. However, as you build your bond portfolio, you may want to offset your low-yielding Treasurys with higher-yielding corporate bonds. If your bond portfolio is otherwise well diversified, you might even consider putting a small portion of your bond portfolio into something quite speculative. Page 14 of 21 Cash for liquidity While stocks and bonds can help you meet your future needs — whether they're four or forty years off — your cash portfolio can help you provide for your immediate goals, be prepared for unforeseen emergencies, and take advantage of unexpected opportunities. What cash and cash equivalents, such as certificates of deposit (CD) and money market accounts, provide that other investments don't is liquidity — the ability to quickly and easily convert your investment to cash without the risk of losing a lot of money. Some cash investments will offer you greater liquidity, such as check-writing privileges and instant access to your cash, while others will yield higher rates of interest but give you less liquidity. In general, the more liquidity the investment offers, the lower the rate of interest it pays. It's a good idea to diversify your cash among a range of investments, with different levels of liquidity or different maturity dates, and paying different rates of interest. Diversification may allow you to achieve the best balance between the convenience and safety of liquidity with interest income from your cash investments. For example, rather than putting all of your cash into a single CD or U.S. Treasury bill, you'll give yourself more flexibility if you stagger — or ladder — several CDs or Treasury bills with different maturity dates. Or you might combine the flexibility of a low-yielding money market account with a long-term, high-yielding CD. Page 15 of 21 FDIC insured Many cash investments offer the added security of being insured. High-yielding bank accounts and time deposits, such as money market accounts and certificates of deposit respectively, are both insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to a limit of $100,000 per depositor. Money market mutual funds, on the other hand, are not insured by the FDIC — although a few fund companies provide private insurance. But depending on the company that offers the fund, the risk of default may be negligible. U.S. Treasury bills aren't insured either, but they are backed by the federal government, which can raise taxes to repay what it owes. As you diversify your cash investments among savings, money market accounts and funds, CDs, Treasury bills, and other short-term investments, you'll want to weigh the absolute security of insurance against the drawbacks of lower yields and potential fees. Page 16 of 21
Diversifying with mutual funds It takes time — and money — to diversify a portfolio, since your goal is to spread your assets among a variety of different investments. Unless you have a lump sum to invest, you'll have to accumulate the money to pay for each new investment you want to make. That's one reason why people who want to diversify, but have a limited amount to invest, may choose mutual funds. All funds own a number of investments, and some funds spread their investments broadly within an asset class, owning stocks or bonds of different sized companies in different industries or sectors. Provided the fund isn't too narrowly focused, it may provide you with ready-made diversification. Page 17 of 21
What the prospectus can tell you Mutual funds provide a lot of information that can make it easier to identify and diversify among different subclasses of investments. This is because the fund company has to state in its prospectus how the fund is invested, and what its major holdings are. For instance, if a mutual fund invests primarily in small-cap technology stocks, this will be stated in its prospectus. This means you have some sense of what major asset classes and subclasses the fund invests in, such as small-, medium-, and large-cap stocks, short- and long-term government and corporate bonds, international stocks and bonds, and stocks in specific sectors and industries. Page 18 of 21
Finding funds that fit Mutual funds can make your job of diversifying across different asset classes and subclasses easier. But they can't do all the work for you. You still have to look at how the funds you're considering work together and fit into your overall portfolio. For example, you don't want to confuse the number of funds you own with diversification. If you own six stock mutual funds that all specialize in small-company growth, you're not diversified — even if you're pleased with the results you're getting at the moment. Similarly, if your large-cap stock mutual fund owns major holdings in the same six blue chip stocks you already own, your portfolio may be too narrowly focused. In this case, a small-company fund would provide greater diversification. Page 19 of 21
International diversification Diversification can be one of your most important tools to help you manage investment risk. As you diversify, your goal is to realize the best possible returns for the level of risk you're willing to take.The more narrowly focused your investments are, the greater the potential for a major loss in a period of falling prices or market turmoil. For example, consider the performance of two hypothetical portfolios created by RiskMetrics, a software analytics company specializing in risk assessment, for The New York Times. One was a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds of both developed and emerging economies. The other was a concentrated portfolio of 80% U.S. stocks and 20% European stocks. Page 20 of 21
Balancing risk and reward Diversification reduces risk, but it also precludes the spectacular success that comes from owning one investment that becomes a major home run. The risk associated with going for broke with one investment, or a limited number of investments, is unacceptably high, and the chances of success are unacceptably low. That's what makes diversification a necessary part of an overall strategy. Page 21 of 21